The goals of this thesis is analyzing the affect of social factors in reduction participation among people of Ardebil, Nir and Namin region in 7th parliament periodical election. In this research, our process was started by an idea, which was formulated by a trigger question. This question was, which social factors affect on reduction of participation among people of Ardebil, Nir and Namin region in 7th periodical election of Islamic Republic of Iran parliament? After designing questions and goals of the research, we choice theoretical base of Lipset and Dahl according to our subjected questions and purposed goals. To generate hypotheses, we are using their theoretical models. These hypotheses were aimed to test the relationship between individual factors (political knowledge, sense power, awareness of electoral result and…) and social factors (satisfying situation of society, attention to people’s wants and…) with participation. For analyzing these hypotheses, we use quota and random sampling. Sample size was 760 person (380 persons registered voters and 380 persons who were not participated in election) from Ardebil, Nir and Namin region. We design a questionnaire to test this analytical pattern on sample. In designing questionnaire, we use Dahl and Lipset developed scales. Then, we test the validity and reliability of instrument. The Cronbach Alpha value, which is shows the inner reliability and stability of items within scales is, estimated about 79 percent. The alpha level shows that, the questionnaire has enough reliability. The designed questionnaire was filled on studying population and data were collected. Data were analyzed by using statistical methods of chi-square, t-test and logistic regression. The result of chi-square analysis shows that, independent variables: “political knowledge, believe in candidates and age” have middle affects and the rest of variables had high significant level of affect on reduction of participation, but “sex and job” has no significant affects. On the other hand, the multi-relationship between factors causing reduction of participation in election was analyzed with logistic regression model, too. The finalized tested pattern shows that, within total 13 factors, 8 factors: “doing what the people wants, awareness of electoral result, effective less of vote, age, communication, satisfying parliament actions and marital status” sequence have affect on reduction of participation in election. Others, in order to have low Wald and beta coefficient stay out of regression equation. In this pattern “people’s wants” (political, economical, social and cultural wants) has greatest weight.
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
1 comment:
Your blog keeps getting better and better! Your older articles are not as good as newer ones you have a lot more creativity and originality now keep it up!
Post a Comment